Subprime Solutions

This is part four of a four-part series of blog articles about the subprime mortgage problems. In part one I sketched the rise and fall of subprime loan products and their relation to predatory lending practices within a capitalist system. In part two, I examined the structural relationship between a professional and his or her client. In part three, I offered a business ethics case study comparing the Space Shuttle Challenger disaster to the subprime mortgage market collapse. In today’s part four, I assert three logical solutions to the current crisis in lending.

[photopress:gift_1.jpg,thumb,alignleft]The subprime crisis is a gift.  Mortgage lending can emerge from the subprime mess and transform itself. I have been co-writing about predatory lending and the ambiguous professional status of retail mortgage salespeople for over 5 years. The industry has traded consumer respect for massive profits.  It does not matter where you work: banker, broker, credit union, consumer finance company. It does not matter what you call yourselves: Loan officer, loan originator, loan consultant, mortgage planner.  Consumers do not understand the subtle and obvious differences.  They DO know “lender

Photo Friday: Understanding Place

Continuing on my adventure of trying out different themes each day, I thought I’d try a multi-media Friday…

And zefrank leads us off with an interesting video about place and context via a tour of Vegas:

Athol continues on his quest to collect the worst of MLS photos… This photo highlighting the photographers thumb is a classic!
[photopress:MLS_thumb.jpg,full,center]

Let the hype begin… Where will you be at 7pm on Sunday?

I created a RE.net photo group on Flickr. My idea with the group is that bloggers could/would post group photos from events, seminars, and/or meetups. I added all the relevant photos from my Flickr stream and would love to see some others get involved! (Just ask for an invite!). I plan to continue to add photos of the different events I attend (and host) and would love to see others… (Photos from the upcoming Sellsius duo’s cross-country trip come to mind!).


Beignets at Cafe Du Monde, originally uploaded by tyrsdomain.

(signing up for the RE.net group should be easy enough (you’ll need a free yahoo account), but this is the first time I’ve set up a Flickr group. I’d be curious to know if you’re having any issues with the process!)

A chateau in Texas?… Yours for just under $60M (via Luxist)

[photopress:Champ_d_Or.jpg,full,centered]

Steal This Blog Post – Friday Fun with Splog Busters!

I recently discovered my last blog post was spotted on several different splogs. On the one hand, I’m flattered that somebody thinks highly enough of my content to copy it and on the other hand, it’s still theft and it could cost you money.

It’s no secret that Mr. Swan holds splogs in same high regard that the Viacom holds YouTube & Google in right now. In fact, he has even attempted to contact splog owners in order to get them to remove the offending content. (Good luck with that Greg – your gonna love this blog post). Mr. Luther has more enlightened attitude toward the problem. He believed that if someone is stealing your content, that almost always means that you’re writing good stuff!

I used to be closer to Dustin’s feelings than Greg’s. However recent events have caused me to rethink my position on this matter. You see, I recently learned that bandwidth isn’t free. Because of all the MLS image downloading, web page serving, and image transferring my server applications and web sites did last month, my hosting company hit me with a $50 fee because I exceeded my 100 GB/month bandwidth quota. Needless to say, I wasn’t pleased to be paying more for hosting (Anybody know of any co-location companies on the Eastside besides Isomedia? If this becomes expensive, I might be going data center shopping again).

Despite this unfortunate event, I did learn that conserving bandwidth does save money and improve site performance (previously the financial aspects of bandwidth conservation never hit home). So, I’ve recently had an enlightened change of heart.

I obviously don’t value my content like Greg value’s his. I see my content as just my semi-interesting rambling that has the nice side effect of creating name recognition for myself, my company, and Rain City Guide. After all, when a splog steals a blog post, they keep the original links and images intact. And since all those links usually refer back to Rain City Guide, it probably helps our Google Rank more than hurts. And it doesn’t cost me anything, if you make a copy.

However, I value my bandwidth. If you hotlink to images on my web site or my blog, you are now costing me money. Although, there are easier ways of avoiding the issue, I decided think like a geek instead of thinking like a real estate blogger.

While you send e-mail to people that may not exist, I just break out the ye old C# compiler and the HTTP documentation and invent an ASP.net HTTP handler that returns a dynamic image and embarrasses the splog host to stop hot-linking to my images.

Anyway, if you’re interested in how easy this trick is to pull off, I’ll post the C# source code for this dynamic image on my blog this weekend, so at least Greg can fight back against sploggers and Greg’s computer genius son can learn a new web trick from an old master… (PS – Although, I’m not a native PHP speaker, I’ll help your son translate it, if he doesn’t get what I did)

If you hosted this image from a web page on your web site, like I did on my blog, you’d see a “[your website] is a splog. Visit raincityguide.com” image. And if you hosted this image on raincityguide.com, you’d get the following image.

Needless, to say, once you understand the technology involved, it opens up all sorts of fun possibilities. For example, you could…

  • Create blog posts with invisible images, that turn into giant splog warning images when hosted by a splog
  • Create images that display genuine content on your site, but display pornography or other objectionable content on a splogger’s site
  • Create images that display genuine content on your site, but turn invisible on a splogger’s site
  • Create images that display content on your site, but return HTTP 403 Forbidden codes on a splogger’s site

If you host your own blog, and aren’t quite so geeky and cheap to write code to solve problem, you can use software like Port 80 software’s LinkDeny on Microsoft’s IIS which is by far the most flexible solution to dealing with image leeching problems. If you host a WordPress blog on a LAMP platform, you can probably configure Apache Mod-Security or Mod-Rewrite to pull off similar tricks.

YES!!!!!!!! The Valuation Tool is Working!

[photopress:cards.jpg,thumb,alignright]The other day when I wrote this article regarding “THE” Valuation Tool, I was talking about the one in my head.

When training new agents I give these instructions.  Go to Broker’s Open Houses and Sunday Open Houses and vacant properties.  Keep a three ring binder and put a printout of each property you visit in the binder.  As you go through each property DON’T write down how you “feel” about the house and it’s asthetics (it takes a while to break that habit, BTW).

Answer these three questions at each house and write your answers on the printout in your binder:

Will it sell? 

When will it sell?

Will they need to have a price reduction before it sells?

You don’t have to be an agent to practice the art of valuing homes or to perfect the “Valuation Tool” in your head.  You just have to remember to step away from the computer at least 30% of the time.  Data only goes so far.  You have to stand on the land and walk through the house to truly establish the basis for valuation.

I chose “a house of cards” for the photo here, and this particular mish-mash of card formations, in the hopes that “a picture speaks a thousand words”.  The big tower of cards, when valuing real estate, is somewhat interdepending on the smaller tower, and the ones scattered around the table are also somewhat dependent on the cards as a whole.  If you can buy this house with a view in Kirkland for X than this house in Woodinville can’t be Y and this condo in Redmond can’t be T.  Everything values off everything else, until it doesn’t.  These are called market areas. 

Sultan’s values are not dependent on downtown Bellevue.  Shoreline’s values are not dependent on Federal Way.  King County, for valuation purposes, is not a “market segment”.  Market segments are created by buyer consumers and not sellers or agents.  If enough buyers are ready to pay X here vs. X there, than that becomes market value.  If no buyers consider Federal Way vs. Redmond, than those two areas are not interdependent as to value.

I tell the agents that when they look at their binder and their answers are 75% correct, they should throw a party.  I also tell them to NEVER, EVER give up the binder until they can do those calculations on “auto-pilot” in their head.

So why the big Herbal Essence YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!?

I took an agent out to do this exercise on Sunday.  I walked through one property listed at just under $1.6 million.  I said this will be gone by Friday.  Today is Friday.  SOLD STRIP IS UP!  The one I said wouldn’t sell is not sold.  The one I was iffy about…have to go check that one, but I don’t think it will be sold until after the 20th, if then, so I’ll go check it at month end.  I expect it to be sold by month end.  I gave the listing agent a couple of things to do so it would sell by month end, I’ll go back and see if it’s sold.  If it isn’t sold, I’ll go see if they did the few little things I told them to do.  Price was right.  Shouldn’t need a price reduction.  Just a couple of showing condition tweaks.  Without those tweaks it could sell for $150,000 less.  We’ll see what happens.

It is a fabulous exercise to predict and stay on top of home values.  Anyone can do it.  You don’t have to be an agent and it’s great fun.  I highly recommend it for anyone considering buying or selling property in the next three years.  Get started now.  It takes some longer than others, but it’s aways a fabulous undertaking for anyone interested in property valuations.

LPMI, PMI and 80/20 Mortgages…Oh My!

Note:  I should have titled this post:  “LPMI, PMI and Piggy Back Mortgages…Oh My”.  I just realized my error thanks to Bill’s comment.   My bad…my apologies!  And there’s no way for me to 80/20 in the title. 

LPMI (Lender Paid Mortgage Insurance) is one of my favorite mortgage products to use for clients with less than [photopress:wiz.jpg,thumb,alignright]20% down.   Here are some of the benefits of an LPMI mortgage:

  • Loan amounts up to the conforming loan limit (currently $417,000 for a single family dwelling).
  • Mortgage interest tax deductible for adjusted gross incomes over $100k (unlike PMI).
  • Convenience of one mortgage payment vs. two mortgage payments on a property.
  • Often provides lower payments a lower total mortgage payment than the “piggy back

Tech Thursday: Are you addicted yet?

After a Wacky Wednesday, I thought it might be time to return to real estate technology…

ShackPrices adds mass transit to their listing search and Greg continues to be impressed(so am I)

USA Today provides an idea for a potential update to ShackPrices… What if Galen included the emotional map of each area?

Speaking of new online mapping tools, Joel has a nice write up on a new home search site out of Toronto called Real Estate Plus that was built by Fraser Beach

The vFlyer folks published a huge list of Web2.0 sites… There are some obvious omissions (I would have found a place for sites like Cyberhomes, Sellsius, PropertyShark, RealEstateShows, HomeHugg and, of course, Shackprices), but overall, it was a valiant effort to capture the cutting edge of the online real estate front…

[photopress:dustin_reptile.jpg,full,alignright]The Real Estate Zealot gives some good background on using Yahoo’s JumpCut to edit and stream real estate videos… (If YouTube made the previous list, then JumpCut appears to have earned a spot as well…)

Nothing too big, but I have been working with some others to build some new themes and widgets for a WordPress website for a Move Trends website that went up a little bit ago… (Note: I also took control over the “hat” at the top of Move.com, so don’t be too surprised if I start sending traffic to random places! LOL!)

The release of the updated Google Analytics has been a real joy! I spent way too much time this evening clicking on the “Entrance Sources” option for popular pages on RCG (it feels much more informative than the previous layout). In the process, I’ve learned a ton about where and how traffic is reaching the site and I’ve actually learned that some of my previous assumptions were completely wrong. (However, considering I’m not using any of the goal tracking or funnel analysis, Seth thinks I should just quit… but I’m having way too much fun to quit…)

I’ve also been wasting spending way too much time on Facebook recently (it ramped up after Joel’s recent post). Fight it if you wish, but I predict online social networking is in your future…

UPDATE: Shortly after hitting publish, Trulia announced some major enhancements to their websiteBloodhound has the details (including a podcast by Bryan).

What do you mean I already "picked" MY agent!?!

“I was told at work that if I see even ONE house with an agent, that agent becomes MY agent.”

It’s a scary thought that seeing one single house with an agent, locks you into some kind of long term unwritten contract with that agent. I have heard the quoted statement more than once from my clients, so to keep this article as short as possible, I’m going to answer it with examples. The underlying principles involved can be addressed by responding to questions in the comment portion.

Example #1:

Buyer Consumer passes by a house for sale, pulls out their cell phone and calls the number on the sign and asks to see the house. Agent who answers the phone says I’m two minutes away, if you wait there I’ll show it to you. Buyer sees house and decides to make an offer, but doesn’t like the agent who showed up and intends to leave and submit an offer through an agent who is NOT the agent who showed them the house. Can they do that?

Clearly a consumer cannot be forced to use an agent they don’t like or know. The question is not what the buyer can or cannot do as their next step. The question is can the agent who they choose to write the offer and represent them end up not getting paid? More to the point, can the agent who gets paid be required to give the money back months after it closes? That answer to both of those questions is yes.

Buyer can choose their agent always, buyer can’t guarantee that the agent will get paid for their efforts in most cases.

Example #2

Buyer Consumer calls phone number in an ad and asks to see the property in the ad. Agent shows up and shows them the house and they want to make an offer.

Example #3

Buyer consumer goes into an Open House, likes it, wants to make an offer.

Example #4

Buyer consumer looks at houses on several separate occasions with an agent. They find house they like and ask the agent several questions. Buyer not satisfied with answers regarding advices at this point and decides to find a different agent to make an offer.

Example #5

Buyer consumer sees that they can get a “rebate” if they use a certain agent to write the offer. They thank the agent, who they liked very much, but decide to use a different agent in order to get “cash back at closing”.

These are all real life every day examples of what happens out in the real world. So let’s get back to the original statement. “I was told at work that when I see a house with an agent…that agent becomes my agent.”

The people who quoted that statement seemed to think that the agent who showed that one house became “their” agent, even if they didn’t want to buy THAT house. So the simple answer to those people is NO. If you see a house with an agent, that agent does not become your agent long term when you decide to buy a different house. UNLESS you signed a Buyer Agency Agreement with that agent in order to see that house.

Never sign a Buyer Agency Agreement just to see one house (or make an offer on one house) with someone you are not choosing to be your agent long term. I would think that is obvious, but for what it’s worth I’ll say it again. NEVER sign a buyer agency agreement with someone you are not selecting to be your agent into the future.

Once you DO, IF you do, sign a Buyer Agency agreement in order to see a house or make an offer, understand that piece of paper could come back to bite you in the butt, when you least expect it, many months later.

If you do not sign a Buyer Agency Agreement you have the freedom to choose your agent at ANY time. What you can’t decide is whether or not that agent will be paid. But there is no rule for consumers that says they are not free to choose their own agent, as long as the agent is willing to risk not getting paid.

Where should the MLS end and the IDX begin?

The whole ruckus over the NWMLS no longer sending its member’s listings to realtor.com inspired many unlit pixels of commentary and many more wasted bytes of hard drive space. As I pondered a while ago, the industry appears to have a healthy appetite for technology. However, one of the comments was really insightful….

I still feel that this decision made by the board was wrong. As was the decision last year to disable the client email updates from Locator. We have the technology but are unwilling to use it. I have no love of REALTOR.com but I see no problem with sharing a limited set of data with them and offering our sellers maximum exposure of their listing. In fact, perhaps one of the reasons they discontinued the feed was because as Galen said, “Realtor.com was given the exclusive non-broker feed…” and they were getting pressure from Google and others to get a similar feed. I say give it to them. NWMLS has the ability to provide its members, all of them, with the technology usually reserved only for those with very deep pockets.

The whole thing got me wondering if this just a tactic for the big brokers to keep their upstarts at bay? Because of the MLS system, the big brokers share their listings inventory, with the smaller and independent brokers. However, perhaps the big brokers want the technology out of the MLS, because it harms the smaller upstarts without withholding listings from them?

Maybe there’s a less nefarious motivation. Since the NWMLS board appears to be dominated by members that belong to big brokers, perhaps they don’t want the NWMLS spending its’ limited computing resources (at the end of the day, even the Google’s & Microsoft’s have limited budgets, they just have a few more zeros at the end than most of us do) in areas where a big broker’s IT department or a motivated IDX vendor could do a better job. Regardless of the motivations, it does bring an interesting issue to light.

What should the MLS responsibilities be in terms of listing change notification, statistics/reporting, automated listing distribution, listing access via mobile devices or any number of things that either an MLS or an IDX vendor could provide?

I’m sure the big brokers are less enthusiastic about this type of thing because some have probably already invented these kind of technologies in house years ago (and paid for it out of their own pocket). They probably also see the MLS as competition for viewer eyeballs and would rather the MLS make it easier to combine listings data across their empires instead of being a shared technology provider. MLS regionalization is probably much higher on their MLS IT wish list. After all, the point of an MLS is to share listings data, not share listings technology.

The independent agents and the smaller brokers, probably want the MLS to provide these services, so they don’t have invest any more money in their IDX vendor / IT infrastructure that they don’t have to. I also suspect a lot people in that market segment see technology as an expense and not as an investment. They only want it, if they don’t have to pay for it.

As for me, I’m just an IDX vendor (I don’t have a dog in the fight). From my biased perspective, the less the MLS does, the more valuable my technology becomes, the more useful my services become, and the more opportunities for paying customers I get. I want you to spend money on your IT infrastructure and your IDX vendor! Apparently, the big brokers want you to do the same via their MLS policy direction!

Because it was a Wacky Wednesday…

Will Hicks lets us know that there are plenty of US embassies still on the market

Ron Ares leads us to the ultimate real estate ethics guru: Ted Truitt

[photopress:wacky_wednesday.jpg,thumb,alignright]Because Flipping should only be practiced by professionals

How not to show a home

It’s the little things that get so darn messy

If you’re willing to follow, Marlow leads us toward a worldly journey of kitchens, bathrooms, bedrooms, etc where there is no normal: Normal Room

And, of course, the original: Wacky Wednesday

Bribery to Work with the Builder’s Preferred Lender

When ever I’m working with a home buyer who may be considering new construction, I know I might lose them to the builder’s in house lender.   Often times the builder will offer an enticing credit to the buyer’s closing costs only if they obtain their financing from the builder’s preferred lender.

How can having a Loan Originator (in this case, they are a retail sales mortgage person, or what ever Jillayne refers to them as  🙂  since they wait to be fed from the builder, often sitting at the construction site) who’s livelihood is supported by the Seller (i.e. the Builder) be in the Buyer’s best interest?    Who is looking out for whom?  How do you know the Loan Originator will not disclose the Buyer’s private information to the Builder if pressed?

Enough of my questions…here are some of my recent dealings with the Builder credit when working with the preferred lender.

UPDATE 12/12/2018: Unfortunately, it looks like part of the this original post is missing.